PIPages
Labs

Rafael Meza

University of Michigan, MI·Public Health & Epidemiology

Flavors make tobacco products more appealing, and regulators are weighing limits on flavored products. Policymakers lack detailed estimates of how such rules would change tobacco use and health across different groups of Americans.

Fields

Public Health & Epidemiology

Mathematics & Statistics

Social Science

Topics

tobacco control

tobacco regulation

flavor restrictions

Grants
1 known grant, through Aug 2028

What they work on

  1. Characterize patterns of cigarette, cigar and electronic nicotine delivery system (ENDS) use across US population groups defined by sex, age and education level.
  2. Develop simulation models of cigarette, cigar and ENDS use for key demographic groups, extending existing tobacco models to include cigar smoking.
  3. Estimate how flavor restrictions would change use of cigarettes, cigars and ENDS, using evidence from quasi-experimental studies, systematic reviews and expert consultations.
  4. Project the impact of flavor restrictions on US tobacco product use and later mortality, including differences across population groups.

More about the research

Existing simulation models cover cigarette smoking, and some now include electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS), such as e-cigarettes. Cigar smoking had not yet been included in such models.

Why it matters

Regulators considering bans on flavored cigarettes, cigars and e-cigarettes need evidence on what those rules would do. Simulation projections of product use and deaths, broken down by sex, age and education, could inform FDA tobacco policy. They could also show whether specific population groups would gain or lose the most. The models may later be used to evaluate other tobacco regulations.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

Modeling the Impact of Tobacco Use and Regulations on Vulnerable Populations

NIH · Sep 2018 – Aug 2028

Closest labs

Meghan Morean

Yale University, CT·Public Health & Epidemiology

Refine an ENDS nicotine concentration label so its strength categories are anchored to cigarette nicotine content, using expert feedback and focus groups.

Alex Liber

University of Michigan, MI·Public Health & Epidemiology

Analyze how tobacco regulatory policies perform once implemented, using detailed comparative case studies and policy surveillance that tracks the laws in force across jurisdictions.

Michael Kotlyar

University of Minnesota, MN·Public Health & Epidemiology

Test whether people who smoke menthol cigarettes take up nicotine pouches more than medicinal nicotine, using a randomized 6-week study of 252 participants in an experimental marketplace.

The school

University of Michigan: 124 labs on PI Pages, $2.1B a year on research, 963 research doctorates a year.

More about University of Michigan

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