PIPages
Labs

Anirudh Subramanyam

Pennsylvania State University, PA·Engineering

Wind and solar power are key to cutting carbon emissions, but their output rises and falls in ways that are hard to predict. Grid operators must plan each day's power flows without knowing exactly how much renewable energy will arrive.

Fields

Engineering

Mathematics & Statistics

Computer Science

Topics

power grid

electric power systems

AC optimal power flow

Grants
1 known grant, through Nov 2027

What they work on

  1. Develop optimization methods for AC Optimal Power Flow that ensure grid safety limits hold with high probability when wind, solar and load forecast errors are non-Gaussian, using Gaussian mixture models.
  2. Design modular algorithms so that existing chance-constrained methods proven for Gaussian errors can be reused with minor changes for nonlinear, nonconvex problems under Gaussian mixture uncertainty.
  3. Create non-Gaussian ambiguity sets that account for misspecified mixture model parameters, and validate the resulting robust grid operating points on real utility data.

More about the research

If they misjudge that uncertainty, the result can be outages and an unstable grid. This project develops mathematical models, theory and algorithms that let operators plan for this uncertainty more realistically.

Why it matters

Power grid operators and the companies that build their planning software need tools that handle the real, irregular uncertainty of wind and solar forecasts. More reliable grid planning methods could reduce the risk of service loss and grid instability as more renewable energy comes online, which supports decarbonization goals.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

Collaborative Research: AMPS: Robust Failure Probability Minimization for Grid Operational Planning with Non-Gaussian Uncertainties

NSF · Dec 2022 – Nov 2027

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Lei Fan

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Develop mixed-integer linear and convex optimization models that capture how data center computing load can shift across time and location, embedded within security-constrained unit commitment for scheduling generators under network limits.

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Design likelihood functions and prior distributions for Bayesian models that capture realistic measurement errors and physical characteristics of smart electricity distribution systems.

The school

Pennsylvania State University: 60 labs on PI Pages, $1.3B a year on research, 743 research doctorates a year.

More about Pennsylvania State University

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