PIPages
Labs

Olivia Feldman

University of Tennessee-Knoxville, TN·Mathematics & Statistics·Early-career

During outbreaks like COVID-19, mathematical models help decide which control measures to use. But a model is only as good as the data that feeds it.

Fields

Mathematics & Statistics

Public Health & Epidemiology

Ecology & Evolution

Topics

mathematical biology

mathematical epidemiology

epidemiological models

Grants
1 known grant, through Feb 2027

What they work on

  1. Develop improved, tractable likelihood models that capture the correlated, complex structure of epidemic data, for more accurate uncertainty estimates in mechanistic disease models.
  2. Use control theory to derive data sampling strategies that jointly minimize a practical-identifiability metric, how well parameters can be estimated, and the cost of collecting data.
  3. Test the sampling methods on synthetic data, then apply them to COVID-19, Zika and Ebola outbreaks to find which data would have been enough to reduce parameter uncertainty.
  4. Build inquiry-based modules teaching undergraduates mathematical modeling, coding and visualization using the project's epidemiological models.

More about the research

If the data collected do not match what the model needs, predictions can be badly uncertain, and policy choices can go wrong. This project asks a practical question: given limited public-health resources, what is the cheapest way to collect data that still lets a model give reliable answers?

Why it matters

Public-health agencies have limited money for testing and surveillance. Knowing which data to collect, and how often, could make outbreak models more trustworthy and help officials pick effective control strategies for future pandemics. The same methods could help ecologists and physiologists design experiments that match their models.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

CAREER: Designing Optimal Sampling Strategies for Epidemiological Models

NSF · Mar 2021 – Feb 2027

Closest labs

Amy Wesolowski

Johns Hopkins University, MD·Public Health & Epidemiology

Collect and standardize many human mobility datasets gathered by different methods, and statistically describe how movement varies at individual, household, community and larger scales.

Lauren Gardner

Johns Hopkins University, MD·Public Health & Epidemiology

Develop an integrated mathematical framework that couples mechanistic models of infectious disease transmission with economic models of individual decision-making, so that behavior responds to the epidemic state and to policies.

Patrick Stephens

Oklahoma State University, OK·Ecology & Evolution

Identify environmental factors (weather, air quality) and socioeconomic factors (physician numbers, vaccine willingness) that explain why Oklahoma counties and metro areas had more or fewer COVID-19 cases than their population size predicted.

The school

University of Tennessee-Knoxville: 16 labs on PI Pages, $387M a year on research, 426 research doctorates a year.

More about University of Tennessee-Knoxville

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