PIPages
Labs

Benjamin Boniece

Drexel University, PA·Mathematics & Statistics

Stock market crashes, bursts of social media activity after news events and sudden changes in animal migration share a pattern. A system that seemed stable abruptly shifts.

Fields

Mathematics & Statistics

Social Science

Topics

statistics

time series analysis

high-frequency data

Grants
1 known grant, through Jun 2027

What they work on

  1. Develop methods to detect shocks that affect many series in high-dimensional, high-frequency data, possibly asynchronously, using time-localized principal component analysis in factor-structured models.
  2. Build testing frameworks based on time-localized bootstrapping to quantify how strongly a shock affects an entire system of time-dependent variables.
  3. Estimate jump behavior in multivariate high-frequency models and develop time-localized clustering methods to group series by their behavior around shock events.

More about the research

Statisticians call these events shocks. Detecting them reliably helps scientists understand large systems of linked variables and manage risk. When many variables are recorded at very high frequency, as in financial markets, climate records or statistical physics, fine-timescale data can reveal hidden connections. It can also show uncertainty shared across the whole system.

Why it matters

More reliable detection of systemic shocks in high-frequency data could help analysts in finance, econometrics, climatology and other empirical sciences spot abrupt system-wide changes, measure how widely they spread and better manage risk and uncertainty in large interconnected systems.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

Collaborative Research: Systemic Shock Inference for High-Frequency Data

NSF · Jul 2024 – Jun 2027

Closest labs

Ting Zhang

University of Georgia, GA·Mathematics & Statistics

Develop change-point tests that stay powerful when the post-change signal varies unpredictably, using a causal representation framework and Gaussian approximation to set statistically sound alarm thresholds.

Yao Zheng

University of Connecticut, CT·Mathematics & Statistics·Early-career

Develop recurrent neural network (RNN) models for high-dimensional time series that stay interpretable through Granger causality, a test of whether one series predicts another, to balance accuracy and interpretability.

Alexander Aue

University of California-Davis, CA·Mathematics & Statistics

Derive new probability results describing the structure of nonlinear, possibly heavy-tailed functional time series, where each observation is an entire curve.

The school

Drexel University: 11 labs on PI Pages, $170M a year on research, 282 research doctorates a year.

More about Drexel University

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